<p><b>Has politics suddenly become a whole lot more complicated?</b></p> <p>It certainly seems that it has – especially <span style='font-family:"MS Gothic";mso-bidi-font-family:"MS Gothic"'> </span>in the wake of another election shock last month. <span style='font-family:"MS Gothic";mso-bidi-font-family:"MS Gothic"'> </span>I used to think that I had a good understanding of the whims of the UK electorate, to the extent that <span style='font-family:"MS Gothic";mso-bidi-font-family: "MS Gothic"'> </span>I had become pretty confident of predicting election outcomes with a degree of accuracy. It seemed to me that there was a fairly small cohort that decided elections – a section of people in marginal constituencies uncommitted to any political party who were genuine floating voters. Get these on board and you would win – get them on board<span style='font-family:"MS Gothic";mso-bidi-font-family:"MS Gothic"'> </span>in numbers and you move into landslide territory.</p> <p>I enjoyed watching my daughters getting involved in the recent general election, the first that they could vote in and which had come a lot earlier than they had expected. They were engaged, enthusiastic and passionate about it all. I would not want to reveal who they voted for – but they are 19 year old students.</p> <p>On the night of the election I gave them the full benefit of …